Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.474754 0.552987 0.639722 0.742969 0.862489 0.996468 1.158040
2025-02-16 0.345763 0.450149 0.578838 0.748952 0.967764 1.239635 1.603072
2025-02-23 0.274161 0.386460 0.535777 0.748414 1.043094 1.436764 2.002532
2025-03-02 0.224811 0.338195 0.498557 0.741209 1.098486 1.604653 2.375940
2025-03-09 0.190865 0.303804 0.472308 0.741018 1.157880 1.779070 2.774418
2025-03-16 0.158791 0.265992 0.433849 0.714498 1.170831 1.882390 3.075084
2025-03-23 0.148408 0.260227 0.443041 0.761881 1.302486 2.180134 3.711273
2025-03-30 0.127364 0.233249 0.413604 0.741015 1.318597 2.292692 4.057487
2025-04-06 0.109383 0.208697 0.384513 0.715934 1.322745 2.383325 4.373913
2025-04-13 0.094744 0.187919 0.359001 0.693182 1.326902 2.472388 4.695023
2025-04-20 0.086189 0.177284 0.350364 0.699889 1.384789 2.662212 5.218822
2025-04-27 0.082382 0.175330 0.357673 0.737550 1.505062 2.979036 6.015393
2025-05-04 0.076547 0.168698 0.355486 0.757193 1.594542 3.251232 6.765670
2025-05-11 0.070224 0.160184 0.348507 0.766399 1.664635 3.494520 7.489831
2025-05-18 0.063824 0.150520 0.337758 0.766004 1.714162 3.700940 8.160802
2025-05-25 0.057637 0.140408 0.324663 0.758641 1.747463 3.876713 8.786315
2025-06-01 0.052721 0.132509 0.315382 0.758446 1.796200 4.090073 9.517083
2025-06-08 0.046537 0.120661 0.295547 0.731314 1.780276 4.159809 9.934636
2025-06-15 0.045802 0.122156 0.307099 0.779790 1.946149 4.654726 11.381027
2025-06-22 0.040989 0.112578 0.290785 0.758443 1.942406 4.759458 11.923764
2025-06-29 0.036494 0.103167 0.273651 0.732783 1.924788 4.829206 12.389809
2025-07-06 0.032623 0.094864 0.258243 0.709507 1.910188 4.904270 12.877024
2025-07-13 0.030545 0.091224 0.254498 0.716368 1.974042 5.179410 13.898960